Monday, March 21, 2016

The David Cameron rolling confidence indicator of doom - Spring Equinox 2016 update

"David Cameron has full confidence in...."

Survivors (so far)
Jeremy Hunt
Full confidence declared 28 June 2010
Full confidence declared again 24 April 2012
Reshuffled from Secretary of State at DCMS to Secretary of State for Health 4 Sept 2012
(Considered a promotion, so confidence still holds)

Theresa May
Full confidence declared 7 November 2011
Full confidence declared again 20 April 2012
Still in office as Home Secretary at time of going to press.

Lord Freud
Full confidence declared 4:13pm 15 October 2014
Still in office as welfare minister at time of going to press

George Osborne
Full confidence declared 11:48 21 March 2016
Still in office as Chancellor at time of going to press

Confidence - and job - lost.
Francis Maude
Full confidence declared 2 April 2012
Reshuffled out of Cabinet Office 11 May 2015
Elevated to the peerage after standing down at the election and appointed as trade minister on 11 May 2015. Resigned on the 10 February 2016.

Grant Shapps / Michael Green / Sebastian Fox
Full confidence declared 16 March 2015
Sacked 11 May 2015

Fiona Woolf
Full confidence declared 22 October 2014
Quit as second chair of inquiry into child abuse allegations 31 October 2014
The Home Secretary had declared her full confidence in Fiona Woolf a whole 30 minutes earlier.

Dame Elizabeth Butler-Sloss
Full confidence declared 9 July 2014
Quit as chair of inquiry into child abuse allegations 14 July 2014

Maria Miller
Full confidence declared 13 December 2012
Full confidence declared again 2 April 2014
Resigned 9 April 2014

Stephen Green
Full confidence declared 23 July 2012
"Retired from government" 10 December 2013.

Andrew Mitchell
Full confidence declared 12:16 24 September 2012
Resigned as Chief Whip 19 October 2012

Caroline Spelman
Full confidence declared 28 June 2008
Replaced as Conservative Chairman 19 January 2009
Finally sacked as Secretary of State for Environment 4 Sept 2012

Andy Coulson
Full confidence declared 11.25am 21 January 2011
Resigned as Comms Director 11:37am 21 January 2011

HRH Prince Andrew

Full confidence declared 8 March 2011.
"Stepped down" as trade envoy 22 July 2011

Chris Huhne
Full confidence declared 16 May 2011
Full confidence declared again 2.14pm 20 January 2012
Resigned 10:50am 3 Feb 2012.

Liam Fox
Full confidence declared 8 October 2011
Resigned as Defence Secretary 14 October 2011

Baroness Warsi
Full confidence declared 27 May 2012
Reshuffled 4 Sept 2012 to 'Senior' Minister of State at Foreign Office
(Demotion, so confidence lost - quit 5 August 2014)

Andrew Lansley
Full 'support' declared 15:13 7 February 2012
Full confidence declared again 14 May 2012
Reshuffled as Secretary of State for Health to Leader of the House of Commons 4 Sept 2012
(I consider this a demotion, although still Cabinet level, so consider confidence lost)

Big news today with the PM starting the clock running on his closest ally, the Chancellor of the Exchequer.

78% of those that have had the public expression of confidence from the PM have now left their posts, so the position of the Chancellor isn't looking secure.